Risk tolerance is an individual decision based on both your financial situation and psychological comfort with volatility.
Understanding your personal risk threshold helps you stick to a plan during turbulent market conditions.
Position sizing is a critical component of risk management that determines how much capital you allocate to each trade. By carefully adjusting the size of your positions based on your overall account balance and risk tolerance, you can protect your portfolio from significant losses.
Swing Trading:
Risking 1% of your account balance on each trade is a solid strategy for swing trading. This ensures that even a string of losses won’t severely damage your account, keeping you in the game for the long term. For example, if your account balance is $10,000, risking 1% means you’re only putting $100 at risk on a single trade. This allows you to withstand multiple losses without dramatically affecting your overall capital.
Investing:
When managing an investment portfolio, using leverage responsibly is key. At TORtrading, we suggest running your portfolio with 1.5x to 2x margin depending on market conditions. In bullish or stable environments, a 2x margin can amplify returns, but during volatile periods, reducing exposure to 1.5x or even going back to no margin may help mitigate risk.
Also, for investments, you should be mentally and financially prepared for your positions to experience a 30-50% drawdown without panicking. This is a general rule of thumb. If you're uncomfortable with the idea of holding through such a downturn, it might be a sign you’re over-leveraged or have allocated too much capital into risky assets. It's essential to have conviction in your long-term holdings.
Day Trading:
Day trading involves higher risk due to the use of increased leverage and frequent trades. With the strategy we use at TORtrading, we typically risk 5-10% of the account balance on each trade. The trade-off here is that while the risk is higher, the win rate is also high. This allows us to make many small profits over the course of the year, compensating for the unequal risk/reward ratio that is often around 1:0.2.
Stop losses are a vital component of risk management, and they should align with your position sizes. There are two main types of stop losses:
Hard Stops: These are predefined levels that you set in your trading system. Once the price hits your stop loss, the system automatically closes the position to limit losses. Hard stops are often recommended for those who prefer not to make emotional decisions in real-time.
Loose or Psychological Stops: Some traders prefer not to place hard stops in the system but instead use mental or psychological stop levels. These allow for some price movement without exiting immediately, but they rely on the trader's discipline to pull the trigger when necessary. While this offers more flexibility, it can lead to larger losses if not executed properly.
The choice between the two depends on the trader's preference, but maintaining discipline is key regardless of which method is chosen.
Risk/reward ratios are important to assess the potential profitability of each trade relative to its risk. Here’s how it breaks down by strategy:
Swing Trading:
Aim for a risk/reward ratio of around 1:2. This means for every dollar you risk, you’re looking to gain around two. For example, if you’re risking $100, your potential reward should be around $200. This strategy ensures that even with a few losses, your winners more than make up for them.
Investing:
The concept of risk/reward doesn’t always apply directly to long-term investing in the same way it does to trading. Investments are often based on broader fundamental factors, and investors are more concerned with overall portfolio growth over time rather than individual trade outcomes. However, you should still assess the downside risk and potential upside when choosing investments.
Day Trading:
In day trading, we often have a skewed risk/reward ratio of around 1:0.2. This means the profit per trade might be smaller than the risk, but the high win rate makes up for this imbalance. With careful execution and frequent wins, this strategy can lead to consistent daily profits. Other traders may prefer different ratios, and it’s important to track your trades to determine what works best for your style.
In a risk-reward ratio table, you're looking at how different combinations of win percentage and risk-reward ratio affect overall profitability.
Win% (Win Percentage): This is the percentage of trades that are winners.
Risk-Reward Ratio: This measures the potential reward of a trade relative to the potential risk. A higher number means a greater potential reward for each unit of risk.
With a win percentage of 80% and a risk-reward ratio of 3.00, you win 80% of the time, but you risk three times more than you earn on each trade (i.e., you risk 3 units to earn 1 unit). This setup is still profitable because the high win rate of 80% compensates for the higher risk per trade, resulting in a profit factor of 0.2.
With a win percentage of 45% and a risk-reward ratio of 0.75, you win 45% of the time and earn more than you risk on each trade (since your reward is 1 unit for every 0.75 units of risked). This means that while you risk less per trade compared to what you potentially earn, the profitability is achieved due to the combination of a moderate win rate with a favourable risk-reward ratio, resulting in a positive profit factor also of 0.2.
Diversification is a key risk management technique, particularly for swing trading and investing. The idea is to spread your investments across different asset classes, sectors, or markets to reduce exposure to any single point of failure. This doesn’t just mean buying more stocks but also considering:
While diversification doesn’t guarantee against losses, it helps reduce the impact of a bad performance in one area, giving your portfolio greater resilience over the long term.